By Peng Wei, Sun Bingnan, Tang Jinchun
According to analytical equations, a catenary aspect is gifted for thefinite point research of cable constructions. in comparison with often used point (3-node aspect, 5-node element), a application with the proposed aspect is of lesscomputer time and higher accuracy.
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At the same time, East Asian currencies depreciated sharply beyond the levels needed to maintain export competitiveness, while the credit rating of government bonds fell from AA+ to CC- and unemployment jumped 370 per cent in 1998 compared to 1997 (IMF 2002; International Financial Risk Institute 2001; Bank of Thailand 2000c; Leightner 1999). 3 Focus on Foreign Capital Flows Foreign capital has played an important role in developing economies . It has filled the gap when domestic savings were insufficient to finance the country's investment activities.
Because of this it is limitated in that its forecast lags behind the actual data and has no ability to adjust for any trend or seasonality. A model that can accommodate trends is required. 0 Fig. 8. 2 The double exponential smoothing! model is more complicated than the simple exponential smoothing model because it includes trend components that may be present in the data. 8 respectively) . 1 Somet imes called trend adjusted exponential smoothing. 5 lSI Fig. 9. 4 Fig. 10. 3 Univariate Time Series Modelling 41 ·········· Actual 1500 '0 - - Predicted '0 ••• , ,, '0 ..
8 30 ......... 2 -20 -30 +----------;r-------,---- - - - -,---- - 51 101 MAPE : MAD : MSD : 151 Fig. 12. 5 151 Fig. 13. 5 30 He 20 Ii' - - - Predicted ..... 8 ', ', i,,·· n ,i -20 ip' III MAPE: MAD: MS D: -30 51 101 151 Fig. 14. 3 Univariate Time SeriesModelling 43 Several techniques are used as assessment measures in evaluating the forecast accuracy of the above fitted time series . These are mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean absolute deviation (MAD), and mean squared deviation (MSD).
A catenary element for the analysis of cable structures by Peng Wei, Sun Bingnan, Tang Jinchun